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Jaylen Waddle carries an ADP of 48 overall and a ranking of 32 on this board, so how is that gap still sitting there in August? And is Terry McLaurin, going one pick earlier at 47, the veteran exception worth breaking a draft rule for? These are five players whose market prices have not caught up to their usage, efficiency, or new situation. One has already produced two completely different wide receiver one seasons by two completely different routes. One is stepping into a target share that just vacated the building. One is the most efficient receiver on the list by yards per route run and has been held back by nothing except his quarterback’s pass attempts. Every name here is available at a discount right now. That discount closes the moment camp reports start moving ADP.
We cover all this, plus DeVonta Smith and the rest of the early-August target list, in a rapid-fire ranked rundown hosted by PFN’s Jason Katz. The case runs on first-read target share, yards per route run, first downs per route run, and opportunity share, with the exact ADP gap named at every spot on the list. Draft season rewards the people who move before consensus does. Five names, one board, and the reasoning behind every one of them.
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Inside The Hot List ↓
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0:00 — Welcome
0:16 — Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals
1:00 — DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
1:58 — Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
3:00 — Terry McLaurin, Washington Commanders
4:09 — Jaylen Waddle, Wide Receiver
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The Hottest Takes You’ll Hear
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*Jaylen Waddle is the No. 1 target on this board at 32 overall against a 48 ADP, backed by a 15.4 point per game rookie year at 9.8 yards per reception and a 15.3 point per game sophomore year at 18.1 yards per reception
*Terry McLaurin ranked fifth in the league at 0.13 first downs per route run and 13th at 2.29 yards per route run, and the episode argues even a regression to eight to 10 touchdowns beats a 13 to 14 point per game ADP expectation
*Zay Flowers turned a near 30 percent target share into only 118 targets because Baltimore averaged 23.2 pass attempts per game, and a return to the 27 to 28 range pushes him to 140-plus targets and inside the top 10
*DeVonta Smith averaged 16.2 points per game without A.J. Brown against 13.8 with him, and the episode projects his 28.2 percent first-read target share climbing past 35 percent this season
*Chase Brown averaged 21.2 points per game from Week 8 through Week 18 last season, which would have made him the overall RB5 across a full year, and he holds a 72 percent opportunity share with a 14.5 percent target share that ranks seventh among running backs
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Watch Next
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The Hot List Shows → https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLF00H5PHVAoipdPGq6vFK6naGxJJzo9Mo
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